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Any serious empirical study of factor substitutability has to allow the data to display complementarity as well as substitutability. The standard approach reflecting this idea is a translog specification - this is also the approach used by numerous studies analyzing the relative capital-skill...
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This paper investigates the international business cycle with new sector level data on hours and output for Canada, Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States from 1992 Q1 to 2011 Q3. We estimate a Bayesian dynamic common factor model on this disaggregate data to decompose...
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economic theory and argue that, while the ‘global savings glut’ may account for the cycle’s initial phase, other factors such …
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and the real-time prediction of professional forecasters. We find that optimism shocks - in line with theory - generate a …
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