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Different stochastic simulation methods are used in order to check the robustness of the outcome of policy simulations with a macroeconometric model. A macroeconometric disequilibriummodel of the West German economy is used to analyze a reform proposal for the tax system. The model was estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000654506
Gegenstand dieses Beitrags ist eine quantitativ orientierte Diskussion einiger Wirkungen einer Umstrukturierung des Steuersystems anhand der neuesten und wesentlich erweiterten Version des Konstanzer aggregierten Ungleichgewichtsmodells für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft für den Zeitraum von...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428105
In the paper we simulate a revenue-neutral cut in the social security contribution rate using five different types of macro- / microeconomic models, namely two models based on time-series data where the labour market is modelled basically demand oriented, two models of the class of computable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428178
The macroeconomic development in West Germany in the aftermath of unification was characterized by a boom period in … 1990/1991, a deep recession in 1992/1993 and a slow recovery since then. In East Germany, in contrast, unification induced … unification are reported. The estimates are based on a disequilibrium model formerly developed for West Germany and extended in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428281
Unification fundamentally changed the terms of quantitative macroeconomic analysis for Germany. Two main areas … concerned are data availability for the eastern part of Germany and structural changes within the behavioural equations after … Germany. The challenge is to handle the structural break in the time series and the economic model by applying a SUR estimator …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428286
This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of different macroeconomic shocks on unemployment in Germany. In a first step …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428423
The VAR/SVAR (Vector Autoregressive and Structural Vector Autoregressive) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for being able to measure the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012486165
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