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Time-varying stock return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles

Metiu, Norbert; Prieto, Esteban - 2023 - November 25, 2022

The cross-sectional average of pairwise correlations across stocks traded on the NYSE, AMEX, and Nasdaq is a powerful predictor of U.S. economic activity at a horizon of one to four years. Its predictive ability is on a par with the slope of the yield curve and significantly exceeds that of some...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600

Financial crises and the dynamic linkages between stock and bond returns

Eraslan, Sercan; Ali, Faek Menla - 2017

framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407

What triggers stock market jumps?

Baker, Scott; Bloom, Nicholas; Davis, Steven J.; … - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012614411

Who trades on momentum?

Baltzer, Markus; Jank, Stephan; Smajlbegovic, Esad - 2014

Using a unique data set that contains the complete ownership structure of the German stock market, we study the momentum and contrarian trading of different investor groups. Foreign investors and financial institutions, and especially mutual funds, are momentum traders, whereas private...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471006

Do financial market experts know their theory? : new evidence from survey data

Brückbauer, Frank - 2022 - This draft: April 2022

Using a unique survey dataset, I study how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. I document a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the relationships between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013175639

Do financial market experts know their theory? : new evidence from survey data

Brückbauer, Frank - 2020

Using a unique survey dataset, the author studies how financial market experts form their stock market expectations. He documents a strong disagreement among experts about how important macroeconomic and financial variables are related to stock returns. The results of an analysis of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012420532

Investment opportunities in Central and Eastern European equity markets : an econometric examination of the risk-return relationships for Western investors

Schröder, Michael - 2000

This study focuses on the diversification benefits of the most developed equity markets of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). To evaluate these benefits of diversification we use so-called spanning tests based on a stochastic discount factor approach and estimated by General Methods of Moments...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428350

Monetary policy and stock market volatility

Bleich, Dirk; Fendel, Ralf; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph - 2013

implicit volatility by a decrease in the interest rate. We take our results as strong evidence that central banks use interest …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202818

Shorting the dollar when global stock markets roar : the equity hedging channel of exchange rate determination

Ben Zeev, Nadav; Nathan, Daniel - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486893

Tests for jumps in yield spreads

Winkelmann, Lars; Yao, Wenying - 2021

This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372

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