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emergence of global imbalances in the 2000s. The record low household savings rate in the past decade was the product of two … borrowing in the 2000s. We present novel disaggregated estimates of the wealth effect on savings. We show that households reduce … active savings in response to gains in financial wealth and increase borrowing with rising housing wealth. Finally, we argue …
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We empirically analyse the appropriateness of indexing emerging market sovereign debt to US real interest rates. We find that policy-induced exogenous increases in US rates raise default risk in emerging market economies, as hypothesised in the theoretical literature. However, we also find...
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How do real interest rates affect financial fragility? We study this issue in a model in which bank borrowing is subject to rollover risk. A bank’s optimal borrowing trades off the benefit from investing additional funds into profitable assets with the cost of greater risk of a run by bank...
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