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We propose a novel time-varying parameters mixed-frequency dynamic factor model which is integrated into a dynamic model averaging framework for macroeconomic nowcasting. Our suggested model can efficiently deal with the nature of the real-time data flow as well as parameter uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012119825
This paper compares two single-equation approaches from the recent nowcast literature: Mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) regressions and bridge equations. Both approach are used to nowcast a low-frequency variable such as quarterly GDP growth by higher-frequency business cycle indicators. Three...
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We propose a novel view of selection bias in longitudinal surveys. Such bias may arise from initial nonresponse in a … demography is used to show that an initial bias can "fade-away" in later panel waves, if the transition laws in the observed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821615
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Current HICP measurement practices produce an upward bias of about one-ninth of a percentage point in German inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489562
We propose a new view of initial nonresponse bias in longitudinal surveys. Under certain conditions, an initial bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714202
Recent studies investigate policies motivating consumers to make an active choice as a way to protect unsophisticated consumers. We analyze the optimal timing of such choice-enhancing policies when a firm can strategically react to them. In our model, a firm provides a contract with automatic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762539
Psychology and economics (the mixture of which is known as behavioral economics) are two fundamental disciplines underlying marketing. Various marketing studies document the non-rational behavior of consumers, even though behavioral biases might not always be consistently termed or formally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762602