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the world experienced in 2008–09, is the deepest global economic contraction since the Great Depression. But as real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009762417
, Germany, France, Italy, the United Kingdom and the United States from 1992 Q1 to 2011 Q3. We estimate a Bayesian dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580709
Multi-agency financial stability committees (FSCs) have grown dramatically since the global financial crisis. However, most cannot direct actions or recommend to other agencies that they take actions, and most would influence policy actions only through convening and discussing risks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012170614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818365
We study the cyclicality of public R&D in 28 OECD countries (1995-2017). While procyclical on average, public R&D reacts asymmetrically over different phases of the business cycle and becomes acyclical during recessions. It is also heterogeneous across countries: Innovation leaders and followers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012390728
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household data from the United States. We find countercyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003468948
Against the background of the recent housing boom and bust in countries such as Spain and Ireland, we investigate in this paper the macroeconomic consequences of cross-border banking in monetary unions such as the euro area. For this purpose, we incorporate in an otherwise standard two-region...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299044
a common credit cycle across all countries. Instead, the credit cycles of Austria, Belgium, Germany, Ireland, and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299045
Most EU member states will adopt fiscal rules that refer to cyclically-adjusted borrowing limits. Under the standard cyclical adjustment procedure, trend increases in public debt based on cyclical components are prevented if the real-time output gaps used to calculate cyclical components balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009566470