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lives for three periods. Our results show how a paternalistic government may correct for the effects of anticipation-bias … ; adaptation ; habit-formation ; anticipation-bias ; paternalism …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559801
We study the implications of biased consumer beliefs for search market outcomes in the seminal framework due to Diamond (1971). Biased consumers base their search strategy on a belief function which specifies for any (true) distribution of utility offers in the market a possibly incorrect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014476790
supply, earnings and welfare over the life cycle. The bias increases part-time employment strongly, induces flatter long … joint taxation. The most significant impact of the bias appears for college-educated women. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495723
stocks (local bias). We hypothesize that individual investors’ local bias is not limited to the domestic sphere but instead … also determines their international investment decisions. Our results confirm the presence of a cross-border local bias … display a significantly lower foreign investment bias towards investment opportunities in that country and (ii) that this drop …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009740268
degree of bias due to selection neglect increases when other decision makers become more informed, or become more rational …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982107
We study the inference and experimentation problem of an agent in a situation where the outcomes depend on the individual's intrinsic ability and on an external variable. We analyze the mistakes made by decision-makers who hold inaccurate prior beliefs about their ability. Overconfident...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930663
Psychology and economics (the mixture of which is known as behavioral economics) are two fundamental disciplines underlying marketing. Various marketing studies document the non-rational behavior of consumers, even though behavioral biases might not always be consistently termed or formally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011762602
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … and Consensus Economics compared to their counterparts that do not. The gains in forecast accuracy from incorporating … households does not lead to systematic improvements in forecast performance. Individual models we consider are typically better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792526
Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity. In this paper, we focus on expectations heterogeneity among professional forecasters. We first present stylized facts and discuss theoretical explanations for heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472058
Asset price processes are completely described by information processes and investors' preferences. In this paper we derive the relationship between the process of investors ́expectations of the terminal stock price and asset prices in a general continous time pricing kernel framework. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428399