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Modeling and forecasting industrial electricity demand for Saudi Arabia : uncovering regional characteristics
Mikayilov, Jeyhun I.; Alyamani, Ryan; Darandary, Abdulelah - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277540
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Forecasting banknote circulation during the COVID-19 pandemic using structural time series models
Bartzsch, Nikolaus; Brandi, Marco; Pastor, Raymond de; … - 2023
As part of the Eurosystem’s annual banknote production planning, the national central banks draw up forecasts estimating the volumes of national-issued banknotes in circulation for the three years ahead. As at the end of 2021, more than 80 per cent of euro banknotes in circulation (cumulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320825
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Seesaw in the air : interconnection regulation and the structure of mobile triffs
Genakos, Christos; Valletti, Tommaso M. - 2011
Interconnection rates are a key variable in telecommunications markets. Every call that is placed must be terminated by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008859597
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Global consumption patterns, quality and food demand
Clements, Kenneth W.; Long Hai Vo - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013193894
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Sudden stop : supply and demand shocks in the German natural gas market
Güntner, Jochen; Reif, Magnus; Wolters, Maik H. - 2024
information about supply cuts for identification and find that gas supply and demand shocks have large and persistent price … and positive storage demand shocks, as Germany filled its inventories before the winter. Counterfactual simulations of an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560154
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What predicts financial (in)stability? : a Bayesian approach
Eidenberger, Judith; Neudorfer, Benjamin; Sigmund, Michael - 2014
This paper contributes to the literature on early warning indicators by applying a Bayesian model averaging approach. Our analysis, based on Austrian data, is carried out in two steps: First, we construct a quarterly financial stress index (AFSI) quantifying the level of stress in the Austrian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010458174
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Identifying indicators of systemic risk
Hartwig, Benny; Meinerding, Christoph; Schüler, Yves - 2020
We operationalize the definition of systemic risk provided by the IMF, BIS, and FSB and derive testable hypotheses to identify indicators of systemic risk. We map these hypotheses into a two-stage hierarchical testing framework, combining insights from the early-warning literature on financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012234486
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Flexibility provisions in multilateral environmental treaties
Boockmann, Bernhard; Thurner, Paul W. - 2002
In international politics, intergovernmental treaties provide the rules of the game. Similar to private law, treaty … measurement of flexibility in international treaties. Based on 400 treaties and supplementary agreements from the field of … international environmental law, we provide new insights into the combined application of rules for adoption and entry into force of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001683499
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Accounting for cross-country income differences
Caselli, Francesco (contributor) - 2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002527948