This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … asymmetric information, where the public has to learn about the actual inflation target from the Fed's interest rate policy. To … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …

Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey …-varying credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has significantly decreased in our sample period … below 2% for several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much …

We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards … since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the …

This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …

; inflation expectations ; credibility building ; evidence on expectations hypothesis … information from the yield curve. We find important changes in the dynamics of macroeconomic variables such as inflation and the … variables. The monetary policy shocks of the early 1980s explain a large portion of the persistence of inflation and the level …

mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …

inflation adjustment process and provides no evidence for a de-anchoring of inflation expectations or a loss of credibility for …Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to … de-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the …

underestimate the ECB's inflation forecasting accuracy. In particular, they believe that the ECB is overly optimistic. Communication … that challenges these perceptions improves the anchoring of inflation expectations, reduces inflation uncertainty and … discourages consumption of durable goods. Treated households also report higher trust in the ECB, perceive the ECB's inflation …