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This paper gives a short overview of Monte Carlo studies on the usefulness of Heckman's (1976, 1979) twostep estimator for estimating a selection model. It shows that exploratory work to check for collinearity problems is strongly recommended before deciding on which estimator to apply. In the...
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Among a variety of small area estimation methods, one popular approach for the estimation of linear and non …-linear indicators is the empirical best predictor. However, parameter estimation using standard maximum likelihood methods is not … is often the case for income variables. Therefore, this work proposes an estimation method, which enables the estimation …
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We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
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The monetary authorities need a future measure of inflation trend to keep on tracking the inflation on target. Many … alternatives of the core inflation measure have appeared in the recent literature pretending to avoid the deficiencies of the usual … headline inflation index as a predictor. This price index is defined as some weighted average of the individual price change of …
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We present a new method for imposing and testing concavity of a cost function using asymptotic least squares, which can easily be implemented even for cost functions which are nonlinear in parameters. We provide an illustration on the basis of a (generalized) Box-Cox cost function with six...
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