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, Germany, Italy and Spain) using a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model with endogenous prior selection. Drawing both on …, while the decline in the price level is weaker in Germany. Bond yields rise more strongly and more persistently in France … and Germany than in Italy and Spain. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444752
This paper studies Ramsey-optimal monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian 2-country open economy framework, which is used to assess how far fiscal policy can substitute for the role of nominal exchange rates within a monetary union. Giving up exchange rate flexibility leads to welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561923
Using an estimated large-scale New-Keynesian model, we assess welfare and business cycle consequences of a fiscal union within EMU. We differentiate between three different scenarios: public revenue equalisation, tax harmonisation and a centralised fiscal authority. Relative to the status quo,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546743
conducted among individuals living in Germany. Although most respondents assume that they have a good or very good knowledge of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897980
The impact of unconventional monetary policies on exchange rates and its spillovers to other economies is not yet fully understood. In this paper I develop a two-country DSGE model with interbank markets and endogenous default probabilities to analyze the cross-border impacts of unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471077
Most EU member states will adopt fiscal rules that refer to cyclically-adjusted borrowing limits. Under the standard cyclical adjustment procedure, trend increases in public debt based on cyclical components are prevented if the real-time output gaps used to calculate cyclical components balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009566470
The paper evaluates current account dynamics in countries with different exchange rate regimes within the EU. In this, the empirical analysis explicitly differentiates between countries with a flexible and a fixed exchange rate regime and members of a monetary union. In addition, we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211960
We propose a novel, multilaterally consistent productivity approach-based indicator to assess the international price competitiveness of 57 industrialized and emerging economies. It is designed to be a useful assessment tool for monetary policy authorities and, thereby, differs from previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373688
This paper proposes a new perspective on international capital flows and countries' long-run external asset position. Cross-sectional evidence for 84 developing countries shows that over the last three decades countries that have had on average higher volatility of output growth (1) accumulated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433418
to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector autoregression analysis, we find both in the euro area and in Germany a … beneficial effect is overturned in the medium run. In Germany, implicit firm default rates rise, while loan write-offs by banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011712553