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In structural vector autoregressive models of United States and euro area manufacturing, we use sign restrictions to identify shocks that alter the frictions to Chinese supply chain trade. We find a quantitatively significant role of such shocks for the decline of US manufacturing output at the...
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This paper studies the great collapse in value added trade using a structural decomposition analysis. We show that changes in vertical specialisation accounted for almost half of the great trade collapse, while the previous literature on gross trade has mainly focused on final expenditure,...
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world's export supply function in which a constant finite price elasticity is introduced. The second change concerns the …
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framework is a bivariate volatility model, where volatility spillovers of either positive or negative sign are allowed for. Our … countries. Regarding the volatility spillovers, such spillovers from bond returns to those of stocks are stronger than the other … results show that by considering time-varying return and volatility spillovers when calculating the risk-minimising portfolio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663407
We use volatility impulse response analysis estimated from the bivariate GARCH-BEKK model to quantify the size and the … persistence of different types of oil price shocks on stock return volatility and the covariance between oil price changes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903691