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cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a … exert relatively autonomous monetary policy. -- Chinese monetary policy ; monetary independence ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581
unit root and cointegration tests are criticized for their low power to detect rational bubbles that periodically collapse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009704893
We investigate the extent to which the effect of the 2018/2019 US import tariff hikes on US (post-tariff) import prices was offset by the concurrent appreciation of the US dollar and trace the source of the appreciation back to US trade policy itself. The dollar response to trade policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792730
We estimate a panel VAR model for the euro area to quantitatively assess how the uneven recourse of national banking … systems in the euro area to the ECB's unconventional refinancing operations that led to the accumulation of large TARGET2 … evolution of aggregate economic activity in euro area member countries in the period 2008-2014. Our results suggest that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034705
A growing literature stresses the importance of the “global financial cycle”, a common global movement in asset prices and credit conditions, for emerging market economies (EMEs). It is argued that one of the key drivers of this global cycle is monetary policy in the U.S., which is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405101
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We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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