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The beta dispersion, which is the spread of betas on a stock market, can be interpreted as a measure of market vulnerability. This study examines the economic idea of the beta dispersion and its application as a market return predictor. Based on the empirical beta dispersion observed in the US...
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This paper updates and extends Friedman's (1972) evidence on the lag between monetary policy actions and the response of inflation. Our evidence is based on UK and US data for the period 1953 2001 on money growth rates, inflation, and interest rates, as well as annual data on money growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518018
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major … exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for …-volatility periods. The biggest forecast improvements are obtained by modelling time variation in the volatilities of the innovations …
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We outline a procedure for combining six cross-sections of the German Sample Survey of Income and Expenditure, and discuss potential pitfalls of such a venture. Particularly, we investigate the consequences of a major break in the survey design for inter-temporal comparisons of expenditure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952561
Motivated by the financial crisis of 2007-2009 several papers have provided explanations for why liquidity may dry up during market stress. This paper also looks at this issue but focuses on the question as to why the liquidity crunch was not uniform across maturities. As funding pressures were...
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