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. Further simulations highlight the importance of increased savings preferences in Germany to explain the latter. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316580
In this paper, we analyze politicians’ expectations about future compliance with a fiscal rule, and in particular the dependence of the expectations on their role in parliament (opposition vs. incumbent government coalition). In addition, we explore how opposition and incumbent politicians...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304830
State-owned enterprises (SOEs) provide opportunities for a more flexible and market-based provision of public services. At the same time, they may impair fiscal transparency and offer politicians discretion in the presence of strict fiscal rules if these only constrain the core udget. Using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471782
Most EU member states will adopt fiscal rules that refer to cyclically-adjusted borrowing limits. Under the standard cyclical adjustment procedure, trend increases in public debt based on cyclical components are prevented if the real-time output gaps used to calculate cyclical components balance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009566470
What happens when fiscal and/or monetary policy changes systematically? We construct a DSGE model in which agents have to estimate fiscal and monetary policy rules and assess how uncertainty surrounding the conduct of policymakers influences transition paths after policy changes. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292321
What are the effects of austerity on distributional policy? We exploit the autonomy of Italian municipalities in setting non-linear income taxes and the exogenous introduction of a fiscal rule to show that austerity increases income tax progressivity. Consistent with this evidence, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232031
In 2012, 22 EU countries signed the Fiscal Compact, an intergovernmental agreement aimed at backing EU fiscal rules with national arrangements. The main objective of the Compact was to strengthen compliance. Based on a survey of national independent fiscal institutions, we take a closer look at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671881
In der Diskussion um die Reform der föderalen Finanzverfassung wird oft eine Stärkung der Steuerautonomie der Länder gefordert. Seitens der Befürworter wird die damit verbundene Ausweitung der Eigenverantwortlichkeit begrüßt, von der stärkere Anreize für eine solide Haushaltspolitik und...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428352
We present the estimated large-scale three-region DSGE model GEAR picturing Germany, the Euro Area and the Rest of the … present-value multipliers for distinct fiscal instruments, and to assess how discretionary fiscal policy in Germany and the …-on-quarter GDP growth substantially, both in Germany and in the rest of the Euro Area. The main drivers of GDP growth in Europe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516561
We simulate the fiscal stimulus packages set up by the German government to allevi-ate the costs of the COVID-19 pandemic in a dynamic New Keynesian multi-sectorgeneral equilibrium model. We find that, cumulated over 2020-2022, output lossesrelative to steady state can be reduced by more than 4...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671256