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This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003478941
Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey …-varying credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has significantly decreased in our sample period … below 2% for several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225643
; inflation expectations ; credibility building ; evidence on expectations hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674660
citizens in January 2019 that is designed to measure long-term inflation expectations and the credibility of the inflation … target. Our results indicate that credibility has decreased in our sample period, particularly in the course of the deep … several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much higher than 2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012590362
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
I propose a new term structure model for euro area real and nominal interest rates which explicitly incorporates a time-varying lower bound for nominal interest rates. Results suggest that the lower bound is of importance in structural analyses implying time-varying impulse responses of yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610
The European Central Bank (ECB) has adopted a mixture of conventional and unconventional tools in order to achieve its mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing literature by providing a taxonomy of the ECB’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305860
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend explains a substantial share of UK inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348
We examine public trust in the European Central Bank (ECB) and its determinants using data from the Bundesbank Household Panel survey for Germany. Employing an interdisciplinary approach that integrates insights from political science and psychology, we offer a fresh perspective on the factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632327