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U.S. labor market dynamics revisited
Yashiv, Eran (contributor) - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003576524
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Analyzing business and financial cycles using multi-level factor models
Breitung, Jörg; Eickmeier, Sandra - 2014
This paper compares alternative estimation procedures for multi-level factor models which imply blocks of zero restrictions on the associated matrix of factor loadings. We suggest a sequential least squares algorithm for minimizing the total sum of squared residuals and a two-step approach based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373684
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Time-varying stock return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles
Metiu, Norbert; Prieto, Esteban - 2023 - November 25, 2022
innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future … productivity. Thus, market-wide changes in return correlation contain information about changes in future technological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
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Real output impact of a resource boom
Murray, Gordon L. - 1985
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003528122
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Weather adjustment of economic output
Schreiber, Sven - 2017 - This version: February 2017
While recurring and regular variations of weather conditions are implicitly addressed by standard seasonal adjustment procedures of economic time series, extraordinary weather outcomes are not. We propose a way of measuring aggregate abnormal weather conditions based on available local...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614063
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Fiscal policy and the assessment of output gaps in real time : an exercise in risk management
Larch, Martin; Cugnasca, Alessandro; Kumps, Diederik; … - 2019
Fiscal policymakers are expected to conduct countercyclical policies to mitigate cyclical fluctuations of output, but the assessment of cyclical conditions in real time is subject to considerable uncertainty. They face two types of risk: (i) launching discretionary measures to support or dampen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011999053
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Did output gap measurement improve over time?
Chiu, Adrian; Wieladek, Tomasz - 2012
We study whether the accuracy of real-time estimates of the output gap produced by the OECD has improved over time by examining a panel dataset on real-time output gap revisions for 15 countries from 1991 Q1 - 2005 Q4. We use a simple panel data regression and a state space model, with common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009559228
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Robust real-time estimates of the German output gap based on a multivariate trend-cycle decomposition
Berger, Tino; Ochsner, Christian - 2022
The German economy is an important economic driver in the Euro-area in terms of gross domestic product, labour force and international integration. We provide a state of the art estimate of the German output gap between 1995 and 2022 and present a nowcasting scheme that accurately predicts the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370512
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Identifying time variability in stock and interest rate dependence
Stein, Michael; Islami, Mevlud; Lindemann, Jens - 2012
The correlation between stock markets and interest rates has been discussed in numerous studies in the past, with … which allow for time-variability and regime changes in correlation. All estimated models allowing for timevarying … correlation complement each other in identifying time-varying patterns found in the (co-)movement between the variables …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009625556
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The spatial distribution of economic activities in the European Union
Combes, Pierre-Philippe (contributor);  … - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001930577