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The neo-Fisherian view does not consider a negative interest rate gap a prerequisite for boosting inflation. Instead, a … negative interest rate gap is said to lower inflation. We discuss this counterintuitive response - known as the Fisher paradox …
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, premium components are less reactive to inflation shocks, while real rate responses change their sign from positive to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610
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information from the yield curve. We find important changes in the dynamics of macroeconomic variables such as inflation and the … variables. The monetary policy shocks of the early 1980s explain a large portion of the persistence of inflation and the level … ; inflation expectations ; credibility building ; evidence on expectations hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003674660
This paper takes up the issue of the flexibility of inflation targeting regimes, with the specific goal of determining … whether the monetary policy of the Bank of England, which has a formal inflation target, has been any less flexible than that … of the Federal Reserve, which does not have such a target. The empirical analysis uses the speed of inflation forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009348634
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348
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We analyze the contribution of credit spread, house and stock price shocks to GDP growth in the US based on a Bayesian VAR with time-varying parameters estimated over 1958-2012. Our main findings are: (i) The contribution of financial shocks to GDP growth fluctuates from about 20 percent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009739598
Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to … de-anchored inflation dynamics in the euro area? This paper is the first time-varying event study to investigate the … reaction of inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates - a market-based measure of inflation expectations - to macroeconomic surprises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456474