Showing 1 - 10 of 1,999
This paper extends the existing literature on the uniqueness and stability conditions for an equilibrium under inflation-forecast-based (IFB) rules. It shows that, for a variety of New Keynesian sticky-price and sticky-inflation models, these are a function not just of the degree of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517930
This paper analyzes the time-varying credibility of the Fed's inflation target in an empirical macro model with … across monetary policy regimes. I find that imperfect credibility is pronounced during the Volcker Disinflation and to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013472154
We study the welfare performance of various simple monetary policy rules under bounded rationality (BR) along the lines of Gabaix (2020) in a New Keynesian model with sticky wages and an effective lower bound (ELB) on interest rates. Policy strategies with a strong history dependence lose their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320809
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001644514
We examine how private sector agents might learn a new monetary strategy that is adopted while at the ELB. Little can be discovered until the economy improves enough that rates would be near liftoff under the old strategy. Recessionary shocks would thus delay learning while large inflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330977
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001664569
Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey …-varying credibility of the inflation target. Our results indicate that credibility has significantly decreased in our sample period … below 2% for several years, credibility has declined mainly because Germans increasingly expect that inflation will be much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225643
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003595280
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
closely-split votes, would work against the credibility of the UK system, now appear unfounded. The relevant meaning of … credibility of policy is a reputation for competence and trust in the system, and it is argued that the UK system has achieved …. It is argued that the potential costs to credibility and transparency weigh heavily against giving the interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517924