comprehensive real-time forecasting exercise for recessions in the US. Moreover, we propose a novel smooth transition modelling …

Modern systems of official statistics require the accurate and timely estimation of socio-demographic indicators for … Institutes based on small area estimation that allows for the estimation of socio-demographic indicators by using mobile phone …-demographic indicator, the proposed approach is applicable to indicators from national statistics in general. …

(science, technology and innovation) policies requires accurate indicators of innovation. Traditional indicators often lack …. In this paper, we propose a novel approach on how to create firm-level innovation indicators at the scale of millions of … firms. We use traditional firm-level innovation indicators from the questionnaire-based Community Innovation Survey (CIS …

This paper analyses the forecasting performance of monetary policy reaction functions using U.S. Federal Reserve … forecasting purposes. Overall, evidence suggests that U.S. monetary policy behaviour between1987-2012 is nonlinear. …