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inflation and output. In normal times, factor costs dominate firms’ marginal costs and hence inflation; credit spreads and the … stick shape. This mechanism also weakens the effects of forward guidance on inflation, since such policy reduces spreads and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792813
households’ short- and long-term expectations about future inflation. This relationship is strong during periods of high-inflation …. Our results show that household perceptions about past inflation drive their expectations about future inflation rates … inflation expectations indirectly - through perceptions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320795
Did the Federal Reserve's Quantitative Easing (QE) in the aftermath of the financial crisis have macroeconomic effects? To answer this question, we estimate a large-scale DSGE model over the sample from 1998 until 2020, including data of the Fed's balance sheet. We allow for QE to affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426411
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785
Central bank announcements move financial markets. The response of inflation and growth expectations, on the other hand … wide set of financial market prices and survey measures of economic expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972952
and incorporates survey information. The model allows to adequately assess short-term monetary policy rate expectations … and it generates far-distant rate expectations that are correlated with an estimated equilibrium nominal short rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888340
Dynamic factor models and external instrument identification are two recent advances in the empirical macroeconomic literature. This paper combines the two approaches in order to study the effects of monetary policy shocks. I use this novel framework to re-examine the effects found by Forni and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636064
Could a monetary policy loosening in a low interest rate environment have unintended recessionary effects? Using a non-linear macroeconomic model fitted to the euro area economy, we show that the effectiveness of monetary policy can decline in negative territory until it reaches a turning point,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012596371
different response on the rate of inflation. Our results show that under fiscal dominance, unconventional monetary policy has … similar effects to conventional monetary policy on inflation because these wealth effects exert downward pressure on prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955624
Did the decline in inflation rates from 2012 to 2015 and the low levels of market-based inflation expectations lead to … reaction of inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates - a market-based measure of inflation expectations - to macroeconomic surprises … inflation adjustment process and provides no evidence for a de-anchoring of inflation expectations or a loss of credibility for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456474