Showing 1 - 10 of 97
Macroeconomic expectations of various economic agents are characterized by substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity …. In this paper, we focus on expectations heterogeneity among professional forecasters. We first present stylized facts and … discuss theoretical explanations for heterogeneous expectations. We then provide an overview of the empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472058
This paper reconsiders the economic explanation of EU regional policy from an evolution- ary perspective. It contrasts the neoclassical equilibrium notions of market and government failure with the prevalent evolutionary neo-Schumpeterian and Austrian-Hayekian perceptions. Based on this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011479448
This paper studies how the communication of political leaders affects the expectation formation of the public. Specifically, we examine the expectation management of the German government regarding COVID-19-related regulatory measures during the early phase of the pandemic. We elicit beliefs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190881
Wage expectations for full- and part-time employment are key for understanding the labor supply decisions of women …-adjusted estimates of the part-time wage gap indicates that women's mean expectations are realistic. I also show that women with children …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012285506
This paper documents that individuals' expectations about macroeconomic outcomes are systematically linked with the … experiences of these macroeconomic outcomes they have made during life. Focusing on expectations about national inflation … variables over the respondents' lifetime, respectively. I find that experience significantly predicts respondents' expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064821
Between 2004 and 2016, we elicited individuals' subjective expectations of stock market returns in a Dutch internet … differ in how they use past stock market returns to form current stock market expectations. The model allows for rounding in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033828
. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses to survey questions on inflation expectations (Binder, 2017). This … inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034114
households’ short- and long-term expectations about future inflation. This relationship is strong during periods of high …. Our results show that household perceptions about past inflation drive their expectations about future inflation rates …. The strength of the pass-through from perceptions to expectations varies across socioeconomic groups. We identify two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320795
This paper examines German business survey data to uncover the influence of political news on expectations concerning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821448