Showing 1 - 10 of 299
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
Yes, indeed; at least for macroeconomic policy interaction. We examine a Neo-Classical economy and provide the conditions for policy arrangements to successfully stabilize the economy when agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. For a contemporaneous-data monetary policy rule, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513023
Long-term inflation expectations taken from the Survey of Professional Forecasters are a major source of information … information content of inflation-linked swap rates for the next survey outcome. Using a mixed data sampling approach, we find that … professionals account for the daily dynamics of inflation swap rates when they submit their long-term inflation expectations. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922197
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
mandate of price stability in the current low-inflation, low-interest-rate scenario. This paper contributes to the existing … anchoring of inflation expectations. I carry out my analysis based on a high-frequency identification and the estimation of a … forward guidance, i.e. forecasters revise their long-run expectations upwards. Consequently, inflation increases, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305860
This paper empirically investigates the role of long-term inflation expectations for the monetary transmission … mechanism. In contrast to earlier studies, we confirm that U.S. long-term inflation expectations respond significantly to a … monetary policy shock. In line with a re-anchoring channel of monetary policy, we find that long-term inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311576
The neo-Fisherian view does not consider a negative interest rate gap a prerequisite for boosting inflation. Instead, a … negative interest rate gap is said to lower inflation. We discuss this counterintuitive response - known as the Fisher paradox …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671353
conditions and to any form of intertemporal or nominal-real links. They are easy to employ in practice, using inflation protected … bonds to infer real rates. With a time-varying inflation target, they can implement arbitrary inflation dynamics, including …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459408
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards … since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
This paper documents a strong relationship between households’ perceptions about inflation over the past 12 months and … households’ short- and long-term expectations about future inflation. This relationship is strong during periods of high-inflation … but even stronger during low-inflation periods. We establish a causal relationship by implementing a randomized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320795