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), CreditMetrics, KMV) still rely on Gaussian copulas. This paper complements the finance literature providing new insights into the … impact of different copulas in stress test applications using supervisory data of 17 large German banks. Our findings imply … high stress effects under extreme scenarios. Heavy-tailed copulas like the Clayton or the t copula are recommended in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419593
by combining the entropy approach, dynamic copulas and rank correlations. Our density estimates yield information about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010405480
We investigate whether frictions in US financial markets amplify the international propagation of US financial shocks. The dynamics of the US economy is modeled jointly with global macroeconomic and financial variables using a threshold vector autoregression that allows us to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493885
This paper studies the behavior of corporate bond spreads during different market regimes between 2004 and 2016. Applying a Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MS-VAR) model, we document that the dynamic impact of spread determinants varies substantially with market conditions. In periods of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979160
VARs are a popular tool for forecasting and structural analysis, but ill-suited to handle occasionally binding constraints, like the effective lower bound on nominal interest rates. We extend the VAR framework by modeling interest rates as censored observations of a latent shadow-rate process,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320745
This paper derives a three stage Cournotoligopoly game for product innovation, expenditure on introducing the product and competition on the product market. Product innovation is assumed to increase consumer utility but is effective only if the innovating firm invests in marketing, so that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428579
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013367395
I investigate the effect of open source on standardization outcomes in a market with positive network externalities. In a closed source world, it seems reasonable to assume that the probability of a standard being chosen is positively correlated with its quality. Open source may weaken or invert...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502981
Voter demand for less redistribution in the face of mass migration maps into actual outcomes insofar as politicians supplying these policies respond to it. We study whether establishing new asylum-seeker centers influences redistributive outcomes in Finnish local elections - a country where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503085