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number of inflation and real activity measures for the United States. We identify demand and supply factors by imposing … demand and supply over the past five decades. The most recent factor estimates indicate that the inflation surge since mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460150
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
. This paper provides a new way of assessing the credibility of monetary policy by analyzing the dispersion of inflation …-unemployment observations over time. In this way, we may reveal whether the short run Phillips curves have shifted due to changes in inflation … expectations. This way of analyzing the anchoring of inflation expectations is both simple and free from ambiguities that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503057
dynamics of inflation implied by macroeconomic data, the model needs to assume an average duration of price contracts which is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003546364
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003529835
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
analyze China’s role in global inflation dynamics. We identify Chinese supply and demand shocks and examine their … to be more strongly affected than consumer prices by Chinese shocks. The overall share of international inflation … exposure help explaining crosscountry differences in price responses. -- Global inflation ; China ; international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732001
Jackman (1991), we investigate the relationship between inflation and the share more formally by estimating a pricing equation … and Lopez-Salido (2000) relationship between inflation and marginal costs in the limiting case of a constant equilibrium … between inflation and the labour share over the last 30 years in the UK and so the share contains information that helps to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518070
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012601651
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792526