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This paper presents an experiment on a coordination game with extrinsic random signals, in which we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally if there are salient public signals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596121
This paper provides new evidence for the empirical literature that investigates the presence of political cycles in fiscal policy and, more precisely, public investments in Brazil. The approach differs from most of the studies for applying the state-space modeling. The greatest benefit is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057055
This paper investigates the international spillover effects of U.S. trade protection. Using micro-level data on anti …-dumping, countervailing duties, and safeguards, I develop a new measure of U.S. trade policy announcement shocks for the period 1988-2015 that … is free of confounding factors. Estimates using the new measure indicate that announced, but not yet imposed, U.S. trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292235
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to economic activity, are followed by unfavorable reactions of financial crisis indicators. We conclude that uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102657
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We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left …-skewness and excess kurtosis, to which we refer as higher-order risk. We estimate our extended income process by GMM for household … show that in a standard incomplete-markets life-cycle model, first, higher-order risk has sizable welfare implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
Based on SVAR models identified by sign restrictions, we estimate the macroeconomic effects of financial and uncertainty shocks in the euro area and the US, paying particular attention to their effects on prices. While our results confirm that such disturbances are important drivers of output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897983