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Uncertainty, misallocation and the life-cycle growth of firms
Mäkynen, Eero; Vähämaa, Oskari - 2021
We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax …-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong … implies idiosyncratic distortions, in line with our accounting approach. According to our quantitative results, uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583062
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Uncertainty, misallocation and the life-cycle growth of firms
Mäkynen, Eero; Vähämaa, Oskari - 2021
We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax …-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong … implies idiosyncratic distortions, in line with our accounting approach. According to our quantitative results, uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013394369
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Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? : new evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market
Hossfeld, Oliver; Röthig, Andreas - 2015
We address the question of whether various types of speculative investor correctly anticipate future USD/EUR currency movements or whether they tend rather to react to past exchange rate movements. Throughout the analysis, we differentiate between large and small traders, and an upper bound of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391722
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Connectedness between G10 currencies : searching for the causal structure
Bettendorf, Timo; Heinlein, Reinhold - 2019
This paper presents a new approach for modelling the connectedness between asset returns. We adapt the measure of Diebold and Yılmaz (2014), which is based on the forecast error variance decomposition of a VAR model. However, their connectedness measure hinges on critical assumptions with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011968850
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The dynamic impact of FX interventions on financial markets
Menkhoff, Lukas; Rieth, Malte; Heidland, Tobias - 2019
Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Applying this approach to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138448
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Relative monetary policy and exchange rates
Karau, Sören - 2024
I show that the majority of short-term nominal exchange rate fluctuations among large economies can be explained by changes in the relative stance of their monetary policies. Adapting recently developed instrumental variable techniques for shock identification, I find that monetary policy shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015079889
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Spillover effects of credit default risk in the euro area and the effects on the euro : a GVAR approach
Bettendorf, Timo - 2016
During the 2008 financial crisis, increasing risk and spillovers became a main concern for policy makers and banks. In addition, changes in sovereign and bank risk are believed to have had strong effects on world-wide exchange rates. This paper aims to analyze these dynamics empirically. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549749
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Economic growth through worker reallocation: The role of knowledge spillovers
Mäkynen, Eero - 2021
An establishment can improve its productivity by hiring workers from more productive establishments. Then, how important is worker reallocation for aggregate productivity growth? To study this question, I develop a general equilibrium model where knowledge transmits as workers reallocate from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013394370
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Economic growth through worker reallocation : the role of knowledge spillovers
Mäkynen, Eero - 2021
An establishment can improve its productivity by hiring workers from more productive establishments. Then, how important is worker reallocation for aggregate productivity growth? To study this question, I develop a general equilibrium model where knowledge transmits as workers reallocate from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583063