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Declining inflation rates might have negative consequences for tax revenues. Phenomena like the inflationary bracket creep in a progressive income tax system do not work any longer. With this background the paper analyzes the extent of fiscal drag for OECD countries since 1965. Some...
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This paper studies if workers infer from correlation about causal effects in the context of the part-time wage penalty. Differences in hourly pay between full-time and part-time workers are strongly driven by worker selection and systematic sorting. Ignoring these selection effects can lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477358
In an a priori view, it is usually assumed that the business cycle of manufacturing industries leads the business cycle of the service sector. This seems to be even more plausible for the relationship between business-related services, whose high growth rates in recent years were largely due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428258
We study the impact of the interaction between fiscal and monetary policy on the low-frequency relationship between the fiscal stance and inflation using crosscountry data from 1965 to 1999. In a first step, we contrast the monetary-fiscal narrative for Germany, the U.S. and Italy with evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391752
Cogan et al. (2009, 2010) claim that the stimulus package passed by the United States Congress in February 2009 had a multiplier far below one. However, the stimulus ́multiplier strongly depends on the assumed monetary policy response. Based on official statements from the Fed chairman, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010258714
By applying a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) approach this paper estimates the effects of fiscal policy shocks of different government sub-sectors on aggregate GDP in Germany. From a general government perspective, the results show that besides investment, it is particularly changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897960
instability of euro area money demand. Our results obtained from panel estimation indicate that the observed instability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008664568
cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a … exert relatively autonomous monetary policy. -- Chinese monetary policy ; monetary independence ; cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796581