Showing 1 - 10 of 328
We introduce a dynamic panel threshold model to shed new light on the impact of inflation on long-term economic growth … industrialized countries, our results confirm the inflation targets of about 2% set by many central banks. For non …-industrialized countries, we estimate that inflation hampers growth if it exceeds 17%. Below this threshold, however, the impact of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876000
In many forward-looking macroeconomic models, such as the New Keynesian model, firms' expectations about the future play a key role in determining outcomes today. We examine this hypothesis using a novel panel dataset on firms actual and expected price changes collected by the Confederation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523616
Recent monetary search models emphasize that the real effects of inflation via its impact on price dispersion depend on … the level of search costs and, thus, on the level of market integration. For less integrated markets, the inflation …-price dispersion nexus is predicted to be asymmetrically V-shaped which implies an optimal inflation rate above zero. For highly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952539
monetary policy reduces the persistence of inflation. Taking into account the fractional integration of inflation, we confirm … that inflation dynamics differed considerably across Euro area countries before the start of EMU. Since 1999, however …, results obtained from panel estimation indicate that the degree of long run inflation persistence has converged. In line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003875991
Long-term inflation expectations taken from the Survey of Professional Forecasters are a major source of information … information content of inflation-linked swap rates for the next survey outcome. Using a mixed data sampling approach, we find that … professionals account for the daily dynamics of inflation swap rates when they submit their long-term inflation expectations. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922197
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
. This paper provides a new way of assessing the credibility of monetary policy by analyzing the dispersion of inflation …-unemployment observations over time. In this way, we may reveal whether the short run Phillips curves have shifted due to changes in inflation … expectations. This way of analyzing the anchoring of inflation expectations is both simple and free from ambiguities that are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503057
revisit claims in the literature that money growth is Granger-causal for inflation at low frequencies. Applying frequency …-specific tests in a comprehensive system setup for euro-area data we consider various theoretical predictors of inflation. A general … Granger-causal for low-frequency inflation movements, and all variables affect money growth. We therefore interpret opposite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009774367
analyze China’s role in global inflation dynamics. We identify Chinese supply and demand shocks and examine their … to be more strongly affected than consumer prices by Chinese shocks. The overall share of international inflation … exposure help explaining crosscountry differences in price responses. -- Global inflation ; China ; international business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732001
find a higher average forecast accuracy of models that incorporate information on inflation expectations from the ECB’s SPF … inflation expectations are typically not large but significant in some periods. Both short- and long-term expectations provide … (not always for the countries). The analysis is undertaken for headline inflation and inflation excluding energy and food …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792526