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Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
A major challenge for monetary policy has been predicting how exchange rate movements will impact inflation. We propose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384119
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The failure to predict the surge in inflation in 2021 raises questions about whether we are better equipped to … anticipate a future decline in inflation. What tools do we intend to use for predicting the trajectory of inflation? Are we still … primarily relying on survey data regarding inflation expectations, and are we still employing a Calvo-type structure to model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465012
changes does not change much with inflation and does not react much to aggregate shocks; (vi) changes in inflation are mostly … consistent with the predictions of a menu cost model in a low inflation environment where idiosyncratic shocks are a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361901
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000919288
The shifts in household consumption caused by the coronavirus pandemic affect inflation measurement in the euro area … via the updating of product weights. We propose a decomposition of the inflation rate, measured by the annual percentage … quantity components. Our empirical results show that euro area inflation was distinctly influenced by weighting effects for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013275335
systematically understated. The effect rests on overstated inflation estimates due to imputed prices for disappearing goods and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012440399