strategies with a strong history dependence lose their advantage over inflation targeting in mitigating a demand …-driven recessions when interest rates are constrained by the ELB. For supply shocks, inflation t argeting o utperforms h istory …-dependent r ules f or a s ufficiently high degree of BR. An exponential average inflation targeting rule, which features a …

inflation and output. In normal times, factor costs dominate firms’ marginal costs and hence inflation; credit spreads and the … stick shape. This mechanism also weakens the effects of forward guidance on inflation, since such policy reduces spreads and …

Time-variation in disagreement about inflation expectations is a stylized fact in surveys, but little is known on how … inflation and inflation expectations, whereas both decline when disagreement is low. Estimating a smooth-transition model on U ….S. data shows significantly different responses in inflation and inflation expectations consistent with theory. …

. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …

. Aggregating the model in closed form, we show that it delivers radically different predictions for the optimal inflation rate than … canonical sticky price models featuring homogenous firms: (1) the optimal steady-state inflation rate generically differs from … zero and (2) inflation optimally responds to productivity disturbances. Using micro data from the US Census Bureau to …

, wages and inflation to monetary policy shocks becomes notably less pronounced. This attenuation reflects that hours worked … modification substantially lowers the effective stickiness of nominal wages, resulting in markedly different wage and inflation …

This paper empirically investigates the role of long-term inflation expectations for the monetary transmission … mechanism. In contrast to earlier studies, we confirm that U.S. long-term inflation expectations respond significantly to a … monetary policy shock. In line with a re-anchoring channel of monetary policy, we find that long-term inflation expectations …

consequences of the ELB for inflation and real economic activity. This result holds both for our HANK model as well as a …