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Measuring the UK short-run NAIRU
Batini, Nicoletta; Greenslade, Jennifer V. - 2003
This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which … inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the …-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in predicting inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in Taylor-type policy rules for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517881
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Is globalization the root cause of declining inflation?
Hukkinen, Juhana; Virén, Matti E. E. - 2022
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the role of globalization - covering both changes in the global market structure and technical and structural developments in trade and production. In addition, the paper deals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
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China's role in global inflation dynamics
Eickmeier, Sandra; Kühnlenz, Markus - 2013
We apply a structural dynamic factor model to a large quarterly dataset covering 38 countries between 2002 and 2011 to analyze China’s role in global inflation dynamics. We identify Chinese supply and demand shocks and examine their contributions to global price dynamics and the transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732001
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Is globalization the root cause of declining inflation?
Hukkinen, Juhana; Virén, Matti E. E. - 2022
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the role of globalization - covering both changes in the global market structure and technical and structural developments in trade and production. In addition, the paper deals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342243
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Two-country new Keynesian DSGE model : a small open economy as a limit case
Silveira, Marcos Antonio Coutinho da - 2015
We build a two-country version of the model in Gali & Monacelli (2005), which extends for a small open economy the new Keynesain DSGE model used as tool for monetary policy analysis in closed economies. A distinctive feature of the model is that the terms of trade enters directly into the new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038711
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The hockey stick Phillips curve and the effective lower bound
Böhl, Gregor; Lieberknecht, Philipp - 2021
We show that if business cycles are driven by financial shocks, the interplay between the effective lower bound (ELB) and the costs of external financing can generate an additional supply-side channel, which causes a disconnect between inflation and output. In normal times, factor costs dominate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792813
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The trade-off between inflation and economic activity in Brazil
Maka, Alexis; Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda - 2017
This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC), the new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC), the hybrid Phillips curve (HPC), and the sticky information Phillips curve (SIPC). We employ an encompassing Phillips curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061223
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Inflation expectations and the Phillips curve : an encompassing framework
Maka, Alexis; Barbosa, Fernando de Holanda - 2017
This paper contrasts empirically four leading models of inflation dynamics - the accelerationist Phillips curve (APC), new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC), hybrid Phillips curve (HPC) and sticky information Phillips curve (SIPC). We employ an encompassing Phillips curve specification that allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061245
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US trade policy and the US dollar
Khalil, Makram; Strobel, Felix - 2021
We investigate the extent to which the effect of the 2018/2019 US import tariff hikes on US (post-tariff) import prices was offset by the concurrent appreciation of the US dollar and trace the source of the appreciation back to US trade policy itself. The dollar response to trade policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792730
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Equilibrium real exchange rate estimates across time and space
Fischer, Christoph - 2019
Equilibrium real exchange rate and corresponding misalignment estimates differ tremendously depending on the panel estimation method used to derive them. Essentially, these methods differ in their treatment of the time-series (time) and the cross-section (space) variation in the panel. The study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998982