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estimation of these two top distributions by using the best data available for Germany. We leverage the bivariate copula to … model. The copula modelling grants the separability in choosing the estimation domain as well as the parametric … model fit with external validation. The copula estimate can help us to perform out-of-sample prediction on the very top of …
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This paper investigates the dynamic linkages in terms of the first and second moments between stock and bond returns, within a wide range of advanced economies, over the different phases of the recent financial crisis. The adopted empirical framework is a bivariate volatility model, where...
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The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level not seen in nearly five decades since the COVID-19 pandemic hit the global economy. Prices, consumption, and production increase after a positive shock to core inflation...
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