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future interest rate, inflation, and output to discover the sources of individual interest rate forecast errors. Based on a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008796249
We study the effects of central bank communication about financial stability on individuals’ expectations and risk-taking. Using a randomized information experiment, we show that communication causally affects individuals’ beliefs and investment behavior, consistent with an expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489541
This paper investigates the financial market effects of the ECB's communication on the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme (PEPP). Using data for 10 euro area countries, we first analyse the impact of different communication channels such as press releases, ECB blog contributions, speeches and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014330976
We use data on speeches held by members of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Executive Board to analyze whether clarity of central bank communication has increased over time. Employing readability measures as proxy variables, we find that clarity of information provision is trending upward since...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472794
bank’s own interest rate expectations. From a theoretical point of view, the latter should yield the highest forecast … view, appears to be at best of minor relevance empirically. -- Forecast Accuracy ; Density Forecasts ; Projections …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732992
Overnight money market rates are the predominant operational target of monetary policy. As a consequence, central banks have redesigned the implementation of monetary policy to keep the deviations of the overnight rate from the key policy rate small and short-lived. This paper uses fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008746052
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001925542
Since the financial crisis, central banks have stressed the role of trust and communication in connection with their objectives and strategies for aligning the public's inflation expectations with their own and, consequently, improving the effectiveness of monetary policy. Assessing how much the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897980