Showing 1 - 10 of 452
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
Many central banks worldwide announce numerical inflation targets, typically ranging from zero to two percent in … advanced economies and higher in developing countries. Historically, a significant gap existed between the inflation targets … for zero or negative inflation targets and surveys new forces justifying positive targets. Key factors include (i) trends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015205425
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards … since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342243
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
Yes, indeed; at least for macroeconomic policy interaction. We examine a Neo-Classical economy and provide the conditions for policy arrangements to successfully stabilize the economy when agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. For a contemporaneous-data monetary policy rule, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513023
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785