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Is globalization the root cause of declining inflation?
Hukkinen, Juhana; Virén, Matti E. E. - 2022
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551656
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Distributional consequences of asset price inflation in the euro area
Adam, Klaus; Tzamourani, Panagiota - 2015
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011316626
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Is globalization the root cause of declining inflation?
Hukkinen, Juhana; Virén, Matti E. E. - 2022
This paper examines the reasons for the declining path of inflation since the 1970s. In particular, it focusses on the … inflation. The paper makes use of different data from individual countries and panel of countries. These data show that the … dispersion of inflation and the behavior of relative prices follow a pattern that is consistent with several globalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013342243
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Inflation target credibility in times of high inflation
Coleman, Winnie; Nautz, Dieter - 2022
We use a representative online survey to investigate the inflation expectations of German consumers and the credibility … of the ECB's inflation target during the recent high inflation period. We find that credibility has trended downwards … since summer 2021, reaching an all-time low in April 2022. The high correlation between inflation expectations and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285915
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Shocks versus structure : explaining differences in exchange rate pass-through across countries and time
Forbes, Kristin; Hjortsoe, Ida; Nenova, Tsvetelina - 2017
. Previous literature has highlighted the role of an economy's "structure" - such as its inflation volatility, inflation rate …, forecasts predicting how a given exchange rate movement will impact inflation at a specific point in time should take into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011671018
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Exchange rate depreciations and local business cycles : the role of bank loan supply
Beck, Thorsten; Bednarek, Peter; Kaat, Daniel Marcel te; … - 2021
This paper uses matched bank-firm-level data and the 2014 depreciation of the euro to show that exchange rate depreciations lead to increased bank loan supply of large banks with significant net foreign asset exposure. This increase in lending can be explained by a shift in credit towards both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792736
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Do heterogeneous expectations constitute a challenge for policy interaction?
Gasteiger, Emanuel - 2016
Yes, indeed; at least for macroeconomic policy interaction. We examine a Neo-Classical economy and provide the conditions for policy arrangements to successfully stabilize the economy when agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. For a contemporaneous-data monetary policy rule, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011513023
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Central bank information shocks and exchange rates
Franz, Thorsten - 2020 - This version: February 2020
The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
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A trendy approach to UK inflation dynamics
Forbes, Kristin; Kirkham, Lewis; Theordoridis, Konstantinos - 2017
This paper uses a "trendy" approach to understand UK inflation dynamics. It focuses on the time series to isolate a low …-frequency and slow-moving component of inflation (the trend) from deviations around this trend. We find that this slow-moving trend … explains a substantial share of UK inflation dynamics. International prices are significantly correlated with the short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664348
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Inflation distorts relative prices : theory and evidence
Adam, Klaus; Alexandrov, Andrey; Weber, Henning - 2024
We empirically identify the effect of inflation on relative price distortions, using a novel identification approach … unobserved shocks. Using the micro price data underlying the U.K. CPI, we document that suboptimally high (or low) inflation is … associated with distortions in relative prices. At the level of individual products, the marginal effect of inflation on relative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560156