Showing 1 - 10 of 381
We offer a decomposition for the variance of the current unemployment rate that not only measures the contributions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624854
I calculate unemployment multipliers of fiscal consolidation policies in a standard, closed-economy New Keynesian … percentage of family firms in the labor force. I find that fiscal austerity raises unemployment. Both at peak and cumulatively …, unemployment reacts least when the budget is consolidated by increasing the rate of value-added tax. At peak, the highest increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010516542
We document that the added worker effect (AWE) has increased over the last three decades. We develop a search model with two earner households and we illustrate that the increase in the AWE from the 1980s to the 2000s can be explained through i) the narrowing of the gender pay gap, ii) changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456513
Following the predominance of macroeconomic stabilisation policies and passive income support schemes in the first phase of transition, active labour market policies (ALMPs) have now come to play a more important role in transition economies. This paper looks at the Polish experience and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622125
This paper introduces a new transmission channel of banking crises where sizable cross-border bank claims on foreign countries with high domestic crisis risk enable contagion to the home economy. This asset-side channel opposes traditional views that see banking crises originating from either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242495
We analyze the impact of financial crises and monetary policy on the supply of wholesale funding liquidity, and also on the compositional supply effects through cross-border and relationship lending. For empirical identification, we draw on the proprietary bank-to-bank European interbank dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471858
Motivated by the build-up of shadow bank leverage prior to the financial crisis of 2007-2008, I develop a nonlinear macroeconomic model featuring excessive leverage accumulation and endogenous financial crises to capture the observed dynamics and to quantify the build-up of financial fragility....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013194657
Does a shift to ambitious climate policy increase financial fragility? In this paper, we develop a quantitative macroeconomic model with carbon taxes and endogenous financial crises to study such "Climate Minsky Moments". By reducing asset returns, an accelerated transition to net zero exerts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014632326
We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors of macroeconomic risk first in the quantile regression framework of Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then in a novel linear semi-structural model as proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173525
In this paper we analyze the effects of a German job creation scheme (JCS) on the social integration and well-being of long-term unemployed individuals. Using linked survey and administrative data for participants and a group of matched non-participants, we find significant positive effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118755