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Measuring economic uncertainty is crucial for understanding investment decisions by individuals and firms …. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … uncertainty. The results provide evidence for the existence of considerable heterogeneity in individuals' response behavior and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034114
landscape. Uncertainty and perceptions are influential drivers when it comes to migration decisions, and yet, the literature … simultaneously associated with uncertainty perceptions. We leverage the British referendum of 2016 to leave the European Union as a … unique natural experiment to demonstrate how collective uncertainty, induced by national government policy, affects the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261129
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483745
The current paper broadens the understanding for the role of uncertainty in the context of a macroeconomic environment …. It focuses on the implications of uncertainty shocks on indicators that tend to precede financial crises. In an empirical … analysis we show for a set of four euro area countries that negative uncertainty shocks, while accompanied by favorable effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102657
studies conducted in 11 countries to explore liquidity risk transmission. Among the main results is, first, that explanatory … power of the empirical model is higher for domestic lending than for international lending. Second, how liquidity risk … management across global banks can be important for liquidity risk transmission into lending. Fourth, there is substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393856
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472578
uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence …-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across researchers adds uncertainty: Non-standard errors (NSEs). We study NSEs by … or higher rated research. Adding peer-review stages reduces NSEs. We further find that this type of uncertainty is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478337
We develop a measure of static misallocation that separates uncertainty from misallocation generated by tax …-like distortions. In the Finnish firm-level data, uncertainty accounts for the majority of ex post misallocation and explains a strong … implies idiosyncratic distortions, in line with our accounting approach. According to our quantitative results, uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583062
robust model for small amounts of uncertainty and analyze the effect of robustness on optimal trading strategies and … liquidation costs. In particular, in our model ambiguity aversion is observationally equivalent to increased risk aversion. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500352
that a shift to a high-uncertainty regime incentivizes firms to invest in their ability to adjust prices. We formalize this … uncertainty, firms set prices more flexibly. This improves their resilience, reducing exit and output losses in response to … negative supply shocks. Uncertainty regarding monetary policy has similar effects. We show that higher monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558815