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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014634152
This text was written as part of the project Modelling of Complex Systems for Public Policy. It reviews the classical authors who jointly contributed to establish the elements of what could constitute a "science of complexity". Based on the original writings of these authors, the text discusses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057058
In this paper we apply statistical inference techniques to build neural network models which are able to explain the prices of call options written on the German stock index DAX. By testing for the explanatory power of several input variables serving as network inputs, some insight into the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622006
In this article we examine how model selection in neural networks can be guided by statistical procedures such as hypotheses tests, information criteria and cross validation. The application of these methods in neural network models is discussed, paying attention especially to the identification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622013
derived from the BPS texts while an accurate prediction of startup survival and high employment growth needs the combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012195608
Housing prices and household borrowing are expected to be tightly connected to each other. Better availability of … credit eases liquidity constraints of households, which is likely to lead to higher demand for housing. On the other hand …, housing prices may significantly influence household borrowing through various wealth effects. Employing time series …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502983
The often used housing price-to-income and housing price-to-rent ratios are problematic in housing market analysis and … may result in misleading conclusions. Instead, the no-arbitrage condition of housing market is a theoretically sound basis … to evaluate if housing prices are misaligned. Unfortunately, empirical applica-tion of the no-arbitrage condition has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502993
The price of vacant land zoned for housing is expected to be tightly linked to housing prices. In informationally … efficient markets, vacant lot price movements should not lag changes in housing prices. In practice, however, the leading role … of housing appreciation with respect to vacant lot price growth may be caused by factors such as thin trading and lack of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503007
This article provides new empirical evidence on the dynamics of price movements and transaction volume in the housing … negative correlation between price level and sales that has been found in a number of housing markets. It is also found that … the direct predictive ability of the fundamentals with respect to housing price growth and sales is overwhelmed by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503010
housing, and show that the elasticity and its variation across cities within the U.S. are significantly influenced by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503045