Showing 1 - 10 of 270
This paper examines the role of alternative assumptions on savings and expectations for the fixwage traverse with … with the assumption of static expectations are explored. With all but one of these assumptions the possibility of permanent … technological unemployment emerges. Additionally, the assumption of adaptive expectations is introduced, in which case technological …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428326
This paper studies how the communication of political leaders affects the expectation formation of the public. Specifically, we examine the expectation management of the German government regarding COVID-19-related regulatory measures during the early phase of the pandemic. We elicit beliefs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013190881
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483746
This paper presents an experiment on a coordination game with extrinsic random signals, in which we systematically vary the stochastic process generating these signals and measure how signals affect behavior. We find that sunspot equilibria emerge naturally if there are salient public signals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011596121
This paper documents that individuals' expectations about macroeconomic outcomes are systematically linked with the … experiences of these macroeconomic outcomes they have made during life. Focusing on expectations about national inflation … variables over the respondents' lifetime, respectively. I find that experience significantly predicts respondents' expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064821
Between 2004 and 2016, we elicited individuals' subjective expectations of stock market returns in a Dutch internet … differ in how they use past stock market returns to form current stock market expectations. The model allows for rounding in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033828
. Macroeconomists increasingly rely on survey data on subjective expectations. An innovative approach to measure aggregate uncertainty … exploits the rounding patterns in individuals' responses to survey questions on inflation expectations (Binder, 2017). This … inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034114
This paper examines German business survey data to uncover the influence of political news on expectations concerning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011621979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014631356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014302346