Showing 1 - 10 of 2,063
We study the inference and experimentation problem of an agent in a situation where the outcomes depend on the … external factors if they fail. They are too easily dissatisfied with their environment, which leads them to experiment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011930663
This paper considers the problem of changing prices over time to maximize expected revenues in the presence of unknown demand distribution parameters. It provides and compares several methods that use the sequence of past prices and observed demands to set price in the current period. A Taylor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025378
benchmark theory. The difference's robustness to a number of variations provides insights about the drivers of this effect. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897066
We investigate experimentally whether social learners appreciate the redundancy of information conveyed by their observed predecessors' actions. Each participant observes a private signal and enters an estimate of the sum of all earlier-moving participants' signals plus her own. In a first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899219
We demonstrate in a laboratory experiment in which subjects play a two-player Cournot-Tullock game over hundreds of … periods of varying length that full accounts of subjects' learning requires the consideration of, both, 'period time' and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013326949
How can naivete about present bias persist despite experience? To answer this question, our experiment investigates … the nature of the task at the second date further shows that learning is unencumbered by a change in environment. Our … in experimentation and a failure to activate self-regulation mechanisms. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976128
Survey data on inflation expectations show that: (i) private sector forecasts and central bank forecasts are not fully aligned and (ii) private sector forecasters disagree about inflation expectations. To reconcile these two facts we introduce dispersed information in a New Keynesian model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520661
econometric learning scheme as proposed by Laubach, Tetlow, and Williams (2007) in the estimation and compare the results to those … form their expectations according to the learning approach. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471626
What happens when fiscal and/or monetary policy changes systematically? We construct a DSGE model in which agents have to estimate fiscal and monetary policy rules and assess how uncertainty surrounding the conduct of policymakers influences transition paths after policy changes. We find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292321
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820695