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Tenure choice : fundamentals and a simulation
Furtado, Bernardo Alves; Souza, João Gabriel de Moraes - 2020
Real estate markets are subject to dynamic, ever-changing influences from location, amenities and neighborhoods; regulation, zoning and population changes; but also - macroeconomic variables, such as interest rates, inflation and economic cycles. The decision to buy or rent a durable,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233003
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A novel housing price misalignment indicator for Germany
Hertrich, Markus - 2019
From 2014 until present, housing prices in Germany have been rising faster than consumer prices in all quarters except one, raising concerns about an excessive over-heating of the housing market. To assess the vulnerability of the German housing market to a future realignment of prices or even a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012098990
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Financial frictions and global spillovers
Metiu, Norbert; Hilberg, Björn; Grill, Michael - 2015
We investigate whether frictions in US financial markets amplify the international propagation of US financial shocks. The dynamics of the US economy is modeled jointly with global macroeconomic and financial variables using a threshold vector autoregression that allows us to capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010493885
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Macro to the rescue? : an analysis of macroprudential instruments to regulate housing credit
Falter, Alexander - 2019
This paper builds a macro model with a financial sector and a housing market to understand the transmission and effects of macroprudential instruments addressing mortgage credit. The model compares the introduction of a loan-to-value ratio (LTV), a countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB)-style...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034723
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Monetary policy, housing, and collateral constraints
Franz, Thorsten - 2019
House-purchasing decisions and the possibility of existing homeowners to tap into their housing equity depend decisively on prevailing loan-to-value (LTV) ratios in mortgage markets with borrowing constrained households. Utilizing a smooth transition local projection (STLP) approach, I show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963152
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Housing demand and tenure choice in Brazilian urban areas
Morais, Maria da Piedade; Cruz, Bruno de Oliveira - 2017
This paper analyzes the main determinants of tenure choice in Brazil in formal and informal housing markets. Logit and Multinomial Logit models with several specifications are used to test the household's tenure choice behavior taking demographic, social, economic and locational factors as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061001
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Time-varying stock return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles
Metiu, Norbert; Prieto, Esteban - 2023 - November 25, 2022
innovation to stock return correlation in a vector autoregression are nearly identical to those of a news shock about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227600
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Real estate transaction taxes and credit supply
Koetter, Michael; Marek, Philipp; Mavropoulos, Antonios - 2021
We exploit staggered real estate transaction tax (RETT) hikes across German states to identify the effect of house price changes on mortgage credit supply. Based on approximately 33 million real estate online listings, we construct a quarterly hedonic house price index (HPI) between 2008:q1 and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433677
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Higher-order income risk over the business cycle
Busch, Christopher; Ludwig, Alexander - 2020
We extend the canonical income process with persistent and transitory risk to shock distributions with left … data from the United States. We find countercyclical variance and procyclical skewness of persistent shocks. All shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215285
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Banking market structure and macroeconomic stability : are low-income countries special?
Bremus, Franziska; Buch, Claudia M. - 2014
Does the structure of banking markets affect macroeconomic volatility and, if yes, is this link different in low … markets affects macroeconomic volatility. Our research has three main findings. First, we study the relevance of granular … effects: if the degree of market concentration in the banking sector is sufficiently high, idiosyncratic volatility at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471853