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probabilities, on reduced-form credit risk stress testing. This type of uncertainty is omnipresent in most macroeconomic stress … testing applications due to short time series for banks' portfolio risk parameters and highly collinear macroeconomic … distributions and implied capital shortfalls by conducting a full-edged top-down credit risk stress test for over 1,500 German banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897976
portfolio, one for market risk and one for credit risk. Similar approaches are common in banks’ internal models for economic … capital. Although it is known that joint market and credit risk of certain investments can be larger than the sum of risks … holdings or CDS portfolios – are also affected. There are realistic conditions under which credit risk (represented by ratings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299075
This paper deals with stress tests for credit risk and shows how exploiting the discretion when setting up and … probabilities are less exposed to model and estimation risk. In addition, the risk horizon over which the stress default … extensive robustness checks for model-based credit risk stress tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981523
risk. This paper focuses on the transmission of sovereign risk to insurance companies as some of the largest institutional … effects from sovereign risk to domestic insurers. The impact on insurers is larger than for non-financial firms and slightly … on European data, we show that risks in sovereign bond portfolios are an important driver of insurer risk, which is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011373080
decline. While participating contracts embedding these guarantees are designed to share market risk across investor cohorts … when guarantees are not binding, we study how binding guarantees distort inter-cohort risk sharing. Using regulatory data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497374
This paper compares alternative estimation procedures for multi-level factor models which imply blocks of zero restrictions on the associated matrix of factor loadings. We suggest a sequential least squares algorithm for minimizing the total sum of squared residuals and a two-step approach based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373684
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012582703
The beta dispersion, which is the spread of betas on a stock market, can be interpreted as a measure of market vulnerability. This study examines the economic idea of the beta dispersion and its application as a market return predictor. Based on the empirical beta dispersion observed in the US...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264452
Life insurers typically grant policyholders a surrender option. We demonstrate that the resulting lapse risk could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011285414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014297006