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We design and implement a novel experimental test of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. Our experiments are implemented in the laboratory with a student population, and pushed out through a large-scale panel to a general sample of the US population. We find that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012126236
a framework to explore, evaluate, and optimize robust decision rules that explicitly account for estimation uncertainty … a decision-maker directly accounts for uncertainty in the model’s transition dynamics. … the model’s implications for optimal decision-making. This practice ignores model ambiguity, exposes the decision problem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487318
remedy for these shortcomings by developing a dynamical model of procedurally rational decision making. The basic idea of the … model is a feedback loop between experienced utility, decision utility, and activities. In applications of the model, I show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480143
We propose a class of multiple-prior representations of preferences under ambiguity where the belief the decision … Marinacci, 2004), which drops uncertainty aversion from maxmin expected utility (Gilboa and Schmeidler, 1989), while extensions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821448
objective facts. A political decision involving both idiosyncratic preferences and scientific knowledge is considered. Voters …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899691
We challenge the standard definition of economic rationality as consistency by making use of a novel distinction … between axioms of decision theory: consistency and preference axioms. We argue that this distinction has been overlooked by … the literature and, as a result, evidence that consistency is a proxy of decision-making ability is often based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014323610
As technology-assisted decision-making is becoming more widespread, it is important to understand how the algorithmic … study the preference for human or algorithmic decision makers in re-distributive decisions. In particular, we consider … whether algorithmic decision maker will be preferred because of its unbiasedness. Contrary to previous findings, the majority …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495065
-)variance of power plant profits. If investors are risk-averse, these differ- ences lead to divergent investment portfolios …, breaking the equivalence of price- and quantity-based policy instruments under risk-neutrality. Using the European power sector … diversification value of these assets. Uncertainty about the stringency of carbon taxes leads to lower shares of fossil fuel assets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015271324
landscape. Uncertainty and perceptions are influential drivers when it comes to migration decisions, and yet, the literature … simultaneously associated with uncertainty perceptions. We leverage the British referendum of 2016 to leave the European Union as a … unique natural experiment to demonstrate how collective uncertainty, induced by national government policy, affects the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261129