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idiosyncratic shocks. Even when prices are flexible and inflation can costlessly act as a shock absorber to restore fiscal …
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Empirical evidence indicates that high oil price volatility has a dampening effect on output in countries that import commodities. Many countries, however, gain important revenues from commodity exports. This paper investigates the output effects of commodity price volatility in commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346638
When is it optimal for a government to default on its legal repayment obligations? We answer this question for a small open economy with domestic production risk in which contracting frictions make it optimal for the government to finance itself by issuing non-contingent debt. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009733001
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This paper uses matched bank-firm-level data and the 2014 depreciation of the euro to show that exchange rate depreciations lead to increased bank loan supply of large banks with significant net foreign asset exposure. This increase in lending can be explained by a shift in credit towards both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792736
appreciates in response to an asymmetric negative demand shock at the zero lower bound (ZLB) and exacerbates the adverse … at the ZLB. In sharp contrast to the full information model: (i) A negative demand shock concentrated in the home country … causes a real exchange rate depreciation that partially absorbs the demand shock. (ii) A VAR with an identified demand shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012510174
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This paper studies the economic and political effects of a large trade shock in agriculture – the grain invasion from … the Americas – in Prussia during the first globalization (1871-1913). We show that this shock accelerated the structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648044
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