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External financing and economic activity in the euro area : why are bank loans special?
Aldasoro, Iñaki; Unger, Robert - 2017
Using a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) identified with a mix of sign and zero restrictions, we show that a restrictive bank loan supply shock has a strong and persistent negative impact on real GDP and the GDP deflator. This result comes about even though flows of other sources of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011632175
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Changes in the euro area interest rate pass-through
Michaelis, Henrike - 2024
This paper uses a time-varying vector autoregressive (VAR) model for the euro area to explore the changes in the interest rate pass-through to bank retail rates following conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks. The median estimate of the impulse responses shows a considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559289
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Bank loan supply shocks and alternative financing of non-financial corporations in the euro area
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael - 2019
to bank loans, such as financing via equity, debt securities, trade credit and lending from non-banks. We investigate …-bank loans to be substitutes for bank loans with negative responses to a positive loan supply shock while trade credit is a …. Quantitatively, the developments in bank loans and trade credit dominate the response of the overall sum of the external financing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034573
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Unconventional monetary policy shocks in the euro area and the sovereign-bank nexus
Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Scharler, Johann - 2020
We explore the effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policy on the banks' sovereign debt portfolios. In particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond holdings in response to non-standard monetary policy shocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012197879
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Heterogeneity in euro-area monetary policy transmission : results from a large multi-country BVAR model
Mandler, Martin; Scharnagl, Michael; Volz, Ute - 2016
We study cross-country differences in monetary policy transmission across the large four euro-area countries (France, Germany, Italy and Spain) using a large Bayesian vector autoregressive model with endogenous prior selection. Drawing both on the posterior distributions of the cross-country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011444752
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Monetary policy and the oil futures market
Eickmeier, Sandra; Lombardi, Marco - 2012
We assess the transmission of monetary policy shocks on oil prices using a VAR model. We identify monetary policy and financial activity shocks disentangled from demand and oil supply shocks using sign restrictions. We obtain the following main findings. (i) Monetary policy and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009682077
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The role of long-term inflation expectations for the transmission of monetary policy shocks
Diegel, Max; Nautz, Dieter - 2020 - This version: November 10, 2020
This paper empirically investigates the role of long-term inflation expectations for the monetary transmission mechanism. In contrast to earlier studies, we confirm that U.S. long-term inflation expectations respond significantly to a monetary policy shock. In line with a re-anchoring channel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012311576
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The global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks
Beutel, Johannes; Emter, Lorenz; Metiu, Norbert; … - 2022
We study the link between the global financial cycle and macroeconomic tail risks using quantile vector autoregressions. Contractionary shocks to financial conditions and monetary policy in the United States cause elevated downside risks to growth around the world. By tightening financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013459721
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Financial shocks and inflation dynamics
Abbate, Angela; Eickmeier, Sandra; Prieto, Esteban - 2016
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the "missing disinflation" during the Great Recession. We apply a vector autoregressive model to US data and identify financial shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785
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German wage moderation and European imbalances : feeding the global VAR with theory
Bettendorf, Timo; León-Ledesma, Miguel A. - 2015
German labor market reforms in the 1990s and 2000s are generally believed to have driven the large increase in the dispersion of current account balances in the Euro Area. We investigate this hypothesis quantitatively. We develop an open economy New Keynesian model with search and matching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011292316