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After hitting the lower bound on interest rates, the Eurosystem engaged in a public sector purchase programme (PSPP) and forward guidance (FG). We use prior and posterior predictive analysis to evaluate the importance of parameter uncertainty in an analysis of these policies. We model FG as an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846905
autoregres-sion (SVAR) framework, that, in response to an adverse financial shock, tangible in-vestment falls more than … intangible investment. This positive co-movement betweentangible and intangible investment as well as the relative resilience of … intangibleinvestment pose a challenge for the theoretical model. We show that investment-specific adjustment costs help in reconciling the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012256498
Investment fell sharply in the euro area after the financial crisis and has not yet returned to pre-crisis levels in … investment dynamics. By doing so, we compare five prominent uncertainty proxies put forward in the recent literature: the … type of uncertainty proxy, we document pronounced negative investment responses to uncertainty shocks. We further show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571047
We estimate the "unhedged interest rate exposure" (URE) of euro area households. The URE is a welfare metric that captures the extent to which households are exposed to changes in real interest rates, and reflects the direct gains and losses in interest income flows incurred by households after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011963126
This paper explores the impact of low (but) positive and negative market interest rates on euro area banks' net interest margin (NIM) and its components, retail lending and retail deposit rates. Using two proprietary bank-level data sets, I find a positive impact of the level of the short-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179680
This paper uses a time-varying vector autoregressive (VAR) model for the euro area to explore the changes in the interest rate pass-through to bank retail rates following conventional and unconventional monetary policy shocks. The median estimate of the impulse responses shows a considerably...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014559289
in the Eurozone. It is the aim of this paper to assess the likely degree of capital mobility in the FH sense within EMU … capital in the past. The conclusion is that within EMU domestic saving and investment will be less correlated than they were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428227
We analyze the impact of financial crises and monetary policy on the supply of wholesale funding liquidity, and also on the compositional supply effects through cross-border and relationship lending. For empirical identification, we draw on the proprietary bank-to-bank European interbank dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471858
I propose a new term structure model for euro area real and nominal interest rates which explicitly incorporates a time-varying lower bound for nominal interest rates. Results suggest that the lower bound is of importance in structural analyses implying time-varying impulse responses of yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012222610
The estimation of dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) turns out to be challenging in the presence of a small sample. It is exacerbated if the sample is characterized by a prolonged period of low interest rates near a time-varying effective lower bound. These challenges all weigh heavily when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888340