Showing 1 - 10 of 341
To simultaneously consider mixed-frequency time series, their joint dynamics, and possible structural changes, we introduce a time-varying parameter mixed-frequency VAR. To keep our approach from becoming too complex, we implement time variation parsimoniously: only the intercepts and a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011903709
This paper uses the method developed by Bollerslev and Todorov (2011b) to estimate risk premia for extreme events for … method to German data yields very similar results to the ones shown for the US data. The risk premia for rare events … constitute a considerable part of the total equity and variance risk premia for both markets. When using the results to build an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010249730
literature. First, a numerically more stable objective function for the estimation of the risk neutral density is derived whose …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010471968
portfolio, one for market risk and one for credit risk. Similar approaches are common in banks’ internal models for economic … capital. Although it is known that joint market and credit risk of certain investments can be larger than the sum of risks … holdings or CDS portfolios – are also affected. There are realistic conditions under which credit risk (represented by ratings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299075
The Value at Risk approach (VaR) is more and more used as a tool for risk measurement. The approach however has … shortcomings both from a theoretical and a practical point of view. VaR can be classified within existing concepts of risk … measurement: it is particularly interpretable as a special measure of shortfall risk. From that point of view VaR will be extended …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622673
that time in general resilient to the default of large banks, i.e. did not exhibit substantial contagion risk. Even though …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012201789
real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180723
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013428053
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003527879
A growing body of literature argues that the financial cycle is considerably longer in duration and larger in amplitude than the business cycle and that its distinguishing features became more pronounced over time. This paper proposes an empirical approach suitable to test these hypotheses. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299043