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portfolio, one for market risk and one for credit risk. Similar approaches are common in banks’ internal models for economic … capital. Although it is known that joint market and credit risk of certain investments can be larger than the sum of risks … holdings or CDS portfolios – are also affected. There are realistic conditions under which credit risk (represented by ratings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299075
Recent literature has proposed new methods for measuring the systemic risk of financial institutions based on observed … stock returns. In this paper we examine the reliability and robustness of such risk measures, focusing on CoVaR, marginal … expected shortfall, and option-based tail risk estimates. We show that CoVaR exhibits undesired characteristics in the way it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009720895
real economic activity growth, in line with a risk shock. Conversely, a certainty shock (a shock strongly decreasing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180723
The Value at Risk approach (VaR) is more and more used as a tool for risk measurement. The approach however has … shortcomings both from a theoretical and a practical point of view. VaR can be classified within existing concepts of risk … measurement: it is particularly interpretable as a special measure of shortfall risk. From that point of view VaR will be extended …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011622673
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208767
models in which the exogenous state variables follow conditionally-linear stochastic processes displaying time-varying risk …. The first-order approximation is consistent with a conditionally-linear model in which risk is still timevarying but has … second-order approximation of the solution, instead, is sufficient to get this role. Moreover, risk premia, evaluated using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008772860
Recently, several institutions have increased their forecast horizons, and many institutions rely on their past forecast errors to estimate measures of forecast uncertainty. This work addresses the question how the latter estimation can be accomplished if there are only very few errors available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465566
In statistics, samples are drawn from a population in a data-generating process (DGP). Standard errors measure the uncertainty in estimates of population parameters. In science, evidence is generated to test hypotheses in an evidence-generating process (EGP). We claim that EGP variation across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478337
seeks to control the amount of tail risk that large banks take in their trading books. However, banks around the world … whether the Basel framework allows banks to take substantive tail risk in their trading books without a capital requirement … regarding the treatment of tail risk. -- Bank regulation ; bank stability ; Basel framework ; crisis ; tail risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009528885