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We develop a theoretical model with labor market frictions, incomplete financial markets and with households which have two members. Households face unemployment risks but their members adjust their labor supplies to insure against unemployment. We use the model to explain the cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312576
strategies with a strong history dependence lose their advantage over inflation targeting in mitigating a demand …-driven recessions when interest rates are constrained by the ELB. For supply shocks, inflation t argeting o utperforms h istory …-dependent r ules f or a s ufficiently high degree of BR. An exponential average inflation targeting rule, which features a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320809
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the latest financial crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011546785
Our paper studies the relationship between money growth and consumer price inflation in the euro area using wavelet … analysis. Wavelet analysis allows to account for variations in the money growth-inflation relationship both across the … frequency spectrum and across time. We find evidence of strong comovements between money growth and inflation at low frequencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433361
, wages and inflation to monetary policy shocks becomes notably less pronounced. This attenuation reflects that hours worked … modification substantially lowers the effective stickiness of nominal wages, resulting in markedly different wage and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014467926
inflation and output. In normal times, factor costs dominate firms’ marginal costs and hence inflation; credit spreads and the … stick shape. This mechanism also weakens the effects of forward guidance on inflation, since such policy reduces spreads and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792813
We introduce two types of effort into an otherwise standard labor search model to examine indeterminacy and sunspot equilibria. Variable labor effort gives rise to increasing returns to hours in production. This makes workers more valuable and contributes to self-fulfilling profit expectations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062385
Using a nonlinear Bayesian likelihood approach that fully accounts for the lower bound on nominal interest rates, we analyze US post-crisis macroeconomic dynamics and provide reference parameter estimates. We find that despite the attention received in the literature, neither the inclusion of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406022
We offer a decomposition for the variance of the current unemployment rate that not only measures the contributions of labor market flows but also of the approximation error embedded in other decompositions that use surrogates for the current rate. Using data for the United States and Brazil,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624854
We document that the added worker effect (AWE) has increased over the last three decades. We develop a search model with two earner households and we illustrate that the increase in the AWE from the 1980s to the 2000s can be explained through i) the narrowing of the gender pay gap, ii) changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011456513