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A consistent set of multilateral productivity approach-based indicators of price competitiveness
Fischer, Christoph; Hossfeld, Oliver - 2014
We propose a novel, multilaterally consistent productivity approach-based indicator to assess the international price competitiveness of 57 industrialized and emerging economies. It is designed to be a useful assessment tool for monetary policy authorities and, thereby, differs from previously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373688
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International investment positions and exchange rate dynamics
Binder, Michael; Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014
We revisit medium- to long-run exchange rate determination, focusing on the role of international investment positions. To do so, we make use of a new econometric framework accounting for conditional long-run homogeneity in heterogeneous dynamic panel data models. In particular, in our model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414236
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Real financial market exchange rates and capital flows
Gelman, Maria; Jochem, Axel; Reitz, Stefan - 2013
Foreign exchange rates and capital movements are expected to be closely related to each other as international capital markets become more and more integrated. To account for this fact we construct an index of real effective exchange rates as a weighted average of cross-country asset price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211958
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On the degree of homogeneity in dynamic heterogeneous panel data models
Offermanns, Christian J. - 2014
We propose a semi-parametric approach to heterogeneous dynamic panel data modelling. The method generalizes existing approaches to model cross-section homogeneity within such panels. It allows for partial influence of other cross-section units on estimated coefficients, differentiating between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010414225
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Equilibrium real exchange rate estimates across time and space
Fischer, Christoph - 2019
Equilibrium real exchange rate and corresponding misalignment estimates differ tremendously depending on the panel estimation method used to derive them. Essentially, these methods differ in their treatment of the time-series (time) and the cross-section (space) variation in the panel. The study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998982
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Spillover effects of credit default risk in the euro area and the effects on the euro : a GVAR approach
Bettendorf, Timo - 2016
those of bailouts. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the Euro depreciates significantly against the Yen and US Dollar … following general risk shocks in the euro area and only to a small extent following bailout shocks. The Pound Sterling is not … affected by any of these shocks. The Euro variability is, from the EMU perspective, mainly driven by shocks stemming from large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549749
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Do speculative traders anticipate or follow USD/EUR exchange rate movements? : new evidence on the efficiency of the EUR currency futures market
Hossfeld, Oliver; Röthig, Andreas - 2015
favor of a causal relationship from speculative positions to exchange rate movements, and therefore an inefficient Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011391722
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Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models
Abbate, Angela; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2016
We explore whether modelling parameter time variation improves the point, interval and density forecasts of nine major exchange rates vis-a-vis the US dollar over the period 1976-2015. We find that modelling parameter time variation is needed for an accurate calibration of forecast confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489395
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Foreign exchange interventions and their impact on expectations : evidence from the USD/ILS options market
Hertrich, Markus; Nathan, Daniel - 2022
Using confidential daily data, we analyse how the intervention episode of the Bank of Israel (BOI) from 2013 to 2019 has affected the foreign value of the Israeli new shekel (ILS) and the expectations about its future value. We find that interventions amounting to US dollar (USD) 1 billion are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013259481
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US trade policy and the US dollar
Khalil, Makram; Strobel, Felix - 2021
We investigate the extent to which the effect of the 2018/2019 US import tariff hikes on US (post-tariff) import prices was offset by the concurrent appreciation of the US dollar and trace the source of the appreciation back to US trade policy itself. The dollar response to trade policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792730