Showing 1 - 10 of 17
Empirical evidence suggests that managerial overconfidence and government guarantees contribute substantially to … excessive risk-taking in the banking industry. This paper incorporates managerial overconfidence and limited bank liability into … overestimates the returns to effort and risk. We find that managerial overconfidence necessitates an intervention into banker pay …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975913
There are many important decision problems where learning through experimentation is costly or impossible. In these situations, individuals may try to learn from observing the outcomes of others who have made similar decisions. Often, however, information about others comprises a selected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982107
Confidence is often seen as the key to success. Empirical evidence about how such beliefs about one's abilities causally map into actions is, however, sparse. In this paper, we experimentally investigate the causal effect of an increase in confidence about one's own ability on two central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064447
This paper examines whether biased income expectations due to overconfidence lead to higher levels of debt-taking. In a … represent real financial losses. To assess the external validity, we find further evidence for the link between overconfidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033567
biased. Overconfidence was identified as one of the key drivers. Yet, prior research is nonexperimental and focused on the so …-called flat-rate bias. By contrast, we examine the effects of overconfidence on tariff choice experimentally. We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033570
Overconfidence is one of the most important biases in financial markets and commonly associated with excessive trading … and asset market bubbles. So far, most of the finance literature takes overconfidence as a given, "static" personality … trait. In this paper we introduce a novel experimental design which allows us to track different measures of overconfidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034133
Why are people so often overconfident? We conduct an experiment to test the hypothesis that people become overconfident to more effectively persuade or deceive others. After performing a cognitively challenging task, half of our subjects are informed that they can earn money by convincing others...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626574
Confidence in one's own abilities is often seen as an important determinant of being successful. Empirical evidence about how such beliefs about one's own abilities causally influence choices is, however, sparse. In this paper, we use a stylized laboratory experiment to investigate the causal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238957
Confidence is often seen as the key to success. Empirical evidence about whether such beliefs causally map into actions is, however, sparse. In this paper, we experimentally investigate the causal effect of an increase in confidence about one's own ability on two central choices made by workers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011778918
Recent research in contract theory on the effects of behavioral biases implicitly assumes that they are stable, in the sense of not being affected by the contracts themselves. In this paper, we provide evidence that this is not necessarily the case. We show that in an insurance context, being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011899247